Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.041588 0.045208 0.048857 0.052807 0.056954 0.061174 0.065784
2025-09-21 0.036314 0.041684 0.047279 0.053519 0.060260 0.067299 0.075181
2025-09-28 0.032832 0.039575 0.046805 0.055078 0.064226 0.073982 0.085118
2025-10-05 0.028582 0.036186 0.044574 0.054410 0.065527 0.077609 0.091640
2025-10-12 0.025712 0.034054 0.043496 0.054808 0.067835 0.082220 0.099162
2025-10-19 0.023540 0.032513 0.042910 0.055609 0.070474 0.087115 0.106948
2025-10-26 0.021620 0.031095 0.042320 0.056278 0.072861 0.091655 0.114290
2025-11-02 0.018704 0.028221 0.039795 0.054480 0.072220 0.092598 0.117420
2025-11-09 0.016771 0.026434 0.038461 0.053996 0.073031 0.095146 0.122340
2025-11-16 0.015159 0.024935 0.037381 0.053728 0.074023 0.097849 0.127399
2025-11-23 0.014484 0.024632 0.037776 0.055259 0.077179 0.103107 0.135466
2025-11-30 0.013750 0.024188 0.037942 0.056467 0.079915 0.107856 0.142934
2025-12-07 0.012823 0.023437 0.037699 0.057172 0.082078 0.111990 0.149782
2025-12-14 0.011807 0.022490 0.037142 0.057436 0.083668 0.115428 0.155812
2025-12-21 0.011260 0.022191 0.037438 0.058798 0.086641 0.120563 0.163911
2025-12-28 0.010029 0.020768 0.036113 0.057957 0.086766 0.122169 0.167718
2026-01-04 0.009276 0.020026 0.035694 0.058292 0.088374 0.125595 0.173738
2026-01-11 0.008721 0.019555 0.035631 0.059082 0.090555 0.129727 0.180624
2026-01-18 0.008176 0.019058 0.035497 0.059754 0.092568 0.133644 0.187254
2026-01-25 0.006996 0.017393 0.033567 0.057873 0.091168 0.133221 0.188482
2026-02-01 0.006270 0.016442 0.032651 0.057363 0.091548 0.135026 0.192460
2026-02-08 0.005659 0.015642 0.031921 0.057080 0.092206 0.137168 0.196849
2026-02-15 0.005508 0.015685 0.032495 0.058670 0.095395 0.142565 0.205341